Heath was once nominated for “Brokenback Mountain” in 2005, but he never got the win. Could the same happen this year? This is one of the award categories that can be unpredictable. Never assume that Heath Ledger could automatically get the win because of his death.
Could this be Robert Downey Jr’s lucky day and he could actually win for his role in “Tropic Thunder”? Could Josh Brolin get the lucky win for “Milk”? What about Phillip Seymour Hoffman for “Doubt”, or Michael Shannon for “Revolutionary Road”? Any of the other guys can get it.
It all depends on the most votes the Academy gave them the win for. If Robert Downey Jr. wins this, that would be shocking.
If Heath Ledger doesn’t win, then I think that’s what he would have wanted. I’ve read somewhere that he never really wanted to be an Oscar winner? I remember reading somewhere on the internet that Heath was relieved that he didn’t win for “Brokenback Mountain” for some reason. If Heath doesn’t win, then it’s no big deal for me and I’ll take it for what it is.
I’m sure there’ll be an angry public outrage by Batman fans if Heath doesn’t win but if you use a little common sense, if Heath was still alive today, he would think his performance is better than getting an Oscar nomination. So, he wouldn’t worry about losing an Oscar again. I don’t think he ever wanted to be an Oscar winner like he once said, so treat his true wishes with heart and respect.
Kev
K'Brocking 
Nate Silverman has predicted 85% probability for a Ledger win. Google it, he’s never wrong
Nate Silverman has predicted 85% probability for a Ledger win. Google it, he’s never wrong
Not as though Downey Jr. doesn’t deserve one, he’s a brilliant and talented actor, but this IS Ledgers year. If he doesn’t win it will the same awful catastrophe as Julie Roberts winning best actress when clearly Ellyn Burnstyn should have for Requiem For A Dream. I didn’t feel he deserved to win the year of Brokeback, though he earned his nomination, but if doesn’t win this year, a lot of people are going to be very upset, myself include. But I do predict he will win.
Not as though Downey Jr. doesn’t deserve one, he’s a brilliant and talented actor, but this IS Ledgers year. If he doesn’t win it will the same awful catastrophe as Julie Roberts winning best actress when clearly Ellyn Burnstyn should have for Requiem For A Dream. I didn’t feel he deserved to win the year of Brokeback, though he earned his nomination, but if doesn’t win this year, a lot of people are going to be very upset, myself include. But I do predict he will win.
I think Ledger never wanted to win because of what some people call “the Oscar curse.” With some actors their careers sink after winning, which is odd considering the Oscar is a sign of recognition that they do good work. Look at poor Cuba Gooding Jr. The man does a brilliant job in JERRY MAGUIRE. A few years later he’s doing movies like SNOW DOGS and BOAT TRIP. Where is the justice in that?
I think Ledger never wanted to win because of what some people call “the Oscar curse.” With some actors their careers sink after winning, which is odd considering the Oscar is a sign of recognition that they do good work. Look at poor Cuba Gooding Jr. The man does a brilliant job in JERRY MAGUIRE. A few years later he’s doing movies like SNOW DOGS and BOAT TRIP. Where is the justice in that?